Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.128632 1.282718 1.450635 1.647297 1.871433 2.119070 2.413634
2025-12-21 0.872463 1.077215 1.319792 1.628762 2.012460 2.474132 3.073106
2025-12-28 0.758454 0.991888 1.284989 1.680848 2.202938 2.869962 3.790121
2026-01-04 0.650784 0.891615 1.208572 1.657537 2.279421 3.113840 4.324305
2026-01-11 0.590501 0.842414 1.187814 1.697832 2.435229 3.468053 5.034072
2026-01-18 0.531818 0.786428 1.148459 1.703198 2.536532 3.749413 5.662806
2026-01-25 0.475756 0.726752 1.095595 1.680084 2.589183 3.959419 6.200693
2026-02-01 0.424793 0.668543 1.037747 1.641190 2.610360 4.119079 6.670927
2026-02-08 0.381728 0.617675 0.985279 1.603706 2.627160 4.269275 7.135381
2026-02-15 0.355510 0.590675 0.967046 1.617934 2.726451 4.557315 7.850703
2026-02-22 0.328220 0.559058 0.937962 1.610476 2.787223 4.784656 8.481652
2026-03-01 0.302445 0.527423 0.905662 1.593755 2.829104 4.981281 9.074487
2026-03-08 0.271145 0.485875 0.857021 1.551768 2.836791 5.144168 9.673570
2026-03-15 0.246584 0.454244 0.823422 1.534882 2.891440 5.403615 10.497335
2026-03-22 0.234427 0.443634 0.825919 1.583876 3.072721 5.914518 11.862691
2026-03-29 0.214208 0.415637 0.793226 1.561945 3.114390 6.162427 12.734840
2026-04-05 0.203532 0.404757 0.791561 1.599855 3.277524 6.664639 14.186469
2026-04-12 0.190128 0.387020 0.774620 1.604903 3.373672 7.040886 15.416786
2026-04-19 0.175250 0.364729 0.746289 1.583158 3.410787 7.297439 16.416353
2026-04-26 0.160430 0.341040 0.712716 1.546565 3.411519 7.475438 17.260081
2026-05-03 0.147220 0.319437 0.681354 1.511297 3.410899 7.649446 18.114358
2026-05-10 0.139472 0.308884 0.672455 1.524684 3.520992 8.082352 19.632470
2026-05-17 0.130703 0.295198 0.655388 1.517667 3.582974 8.411052 20.937872